The MACD Histogram and How It Works as a Buy/Sell Signal

Feedback on Trading System

I built a forex trading strategy recently for a friend, and wanted to share it / get some feedback on it, as most of the systems I build trade stocks and are more fundamental/macro based!
The system was inspired by this forexfactory post: https://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=343533 but I've made a few changes.
The Filter:
I didn't like the proposed TMA slope indicator as the calculation and cutoff values seemed too arbitrary to me, so I take the 5 bar ROC of an EMA and smooth it. I divide this value by its standard deviation to scale it for higher timeframe analysis. I take the value of this adjustedSlope at the 4H, 1D, 1W timeframes, and sumproduct them with weights of 40%, 30%, 30% to give a little more strength to recent movements. I call this the overallSlope (for future reference).
I describe the the market regime under these rules:
(overallSlope > overallSlope[1] and overallSlope > 0) = bullish
(overallSlope < overallSlope[1] and overallSlope < 0) = bearish
(overallSlope > overallSlope[1] and overallSlope < 0) = neutral
(overallSlope < overallSlope[1] and overallSlope > 0) = neutral
Just like the system from ForexFactory, only long trades can be taken if its bullish, only short trades can be taken if its bearish, and either trade can be taken if its neutral.
The Setup:
I believe this portion is identical to the original stated system. Take the 50 bar Triangular Moving Average on the 4H timeframe, where the UpperBand is TMA + (2.5 * H4ATR) and the LowerBand is TMA - (2.5 * H4ATR).
If the market regime is bullish/neutral and the price has traded below the Lower Band then we're setting up for a buy and vice versa with a bearish/neutral market regime and price trading above the Upper Band.
I'm considering switching this to Median Absolute Deviation Bands as I like using the modified Z Score but I'm unsure of applying it directly to a price series instead of indirectly through an indicator or factor, I assume the median isn't very effective due to the actual series drifting, where as its (more) static when applied to Earnings Yield or something.
The Trigger:
For the trigger I'm on the 1H TimeFrame using the MACD histogram crossing 0, but the MACD is based on the Jurik Moving Average instead of the standard. A couple years ago when I first started getting into programming and playing forex, the JMA was something I stumbled on and wrote up and I really like it, it's very effective and smoothing a series, allowing the use of shorter lookback values without the MA being too "jittery".
Exits:
On the losing side, at open a stop loss is placed at (2 * H4ATR) below(above) the low(high) if we're going Long(Short). I'm currently split between two exits on the profit side. Right now my current exit criteria for a hypothetical long position is a bearish MACD Histogram crossover while we are above the TMA (the "midline"). The other strategy I'm considering is half off at the midline and the other half off at the Upper Band, but I think this isn't great because it can reverse and hit the stop effectively nulling the trade.
Risk Management:
For the risk management of the system I'm using position sizes standardized to risk 3% of the account on each trade by calculating how far away the stop is, and scaling the # of units until $risk = AccVal * .03.
Additional Comments:
As of right now I only have it fully coded on TradingView and I've made sure to use open prices for everything to avoid? (not sure if this completely handles this issue, please let me know) lookahead bias and I'm in the process of translating my code into my backtesting system but a lot of what I've built is equity related so I have some work to do to get it running right for forex. In TradingView I have it plot the Entry, Stop, and two targets, and the background shifts based on if it's long/short/flat. https://imgur.com/a/A1UQi04

I look forward to any thoughts or comments y'all may have, thanks for reading!
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Importance of Technical Indicators

Importance of Technical Indicators

Introduction:

Much after they emphatically show toward a path, it just means there is a decent possibility or likelihood that the market will take that heading, not an assurance. It's likewise great to recall that specialized markers depend on information gathered from past exchanges. Each exchange is unique thus it is conceivable that authentic data probably won't be adequate to effectively discover future market developments. Additionally, recollect that a marker ought not to be utilized in seclusion. It ought to be utilized in mix with others. Given underneath are a few pointers that can demonstrate to be useful in apportioning probabilities, obviously like we said previously, don't depend on them to foresee advertise developments.

https://preview.redd.it/yqodp11g6s541.png?width=560&format=png&auto=webp&s=b67a38b65690923ba7ccb39436dd5ba7ab50a7f9

MACD:

MACD is known as the moving average convergence divergence calculation is a covering indicator used to track trends. The MACD consists of 2 exponential moving average and histogram. It is to keep in mind that these two lines in the indicator are not simple moving averages because many traders think it that way.

Forex Index:

The force index tells you how much force or volume is behind a trade. The manner in which this can help you is by helping you see what's happening underneath the surface. So if a pattern is going up and the Force Index is going down, it implies that the volume is diminishing and the pattern will likely return soon. So it sets you up for what's to come

Stochastic Oscillator:

The Stochastic Oscillator shows you overbought or oversold conditions. Overbought and oversold sign is significant on the grounds that it gives you when to anticipate that the pattern should go down when it has been going up for some time.
On the off chance that a cost goes excessively high excessively quick, it implies that that pair is very nearly being overbought and therefore it will return. So it cautions any merchants who may be going to enter an exchange taking a gander at the pattern that it may before long return because of the restorative wave. Additionally, on the off chance that it descends too rapidly that shows that it is oversold thus it will before long skip back thus you have to act in like manner.
submitted by Andrew-Mark to u/Andrew-Mark [link] [comments]

r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Dec 25, 2018

Feel free to talk about technical analysis here (not argue against it), but before you ask any question make sure you see the following information:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions:
Measure: Is the security's price trending, has it dipped or is it a falling knife? Interpret: Does the current price mean investors think it's undervalued or overvalued; when did they buy/sell more and why? Predict: If price reaches a certain point, will there be a rally or get rejected?
The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as priced in): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.
TA is best used for short term trading, but can also be used for long term.
Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks
Terminology
Useful indicators
Methods or Systems
Strategies: See the TA wiki here as this will be a work in progress, feel free to reply with your own strategy.
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
submitted by AutoModerator to stocks [link] [comments]

SFT Full MACD. FREE Forex Indicator for MT4

SFT Full MACD. FREE Forex Indicator for MT4 A classic indicator with advanced features for more accurate display of the market situation. All settings of all moving averages are available, such as the moving average type and the priced used in its calculation. It is also possible to change the appearance of the indicator - line or histogram. Additional parameters provide the ability of fine tuning.
Distinctive features: - Does not redraw. - Additional parameters for fine tuning. - Displayed as a line or as a histogram. - Works on all timeframes and symbols. - Suitable for manual trading and development of Expert Advisors.
FREE download " SFT Full MACD " : https://mql5.com/4bqlw
submitted by SUREFOREXTRADING to u/SUREFOREXTRADING [link] [comments]

SFT Full MACD | FREE Forex Indicator for MT4

SFT Full MACD | FREE Forex Indicator for MT4 https://youtu.be/DPIeGdAvCVE FREE download " SFT Full MACD " : https://mql5.com/4bqlw Full list of forex trading soft from SURE FOREX TRADING: http://bit.ly/2tk6fn0
A classic indicator with advanced features for more accurate display of the situation on the market.
All the settings of moving averages are available, such as the average type and the price at which it is built.
It is also possible to change the display of the indicator - line or histogram.
Thanks to the additional parameters, it became possible to fine tune.
-Distinctive features -Does not redraw; -Additional parameters for fine tuning; -Display as a line or as a histogram; -Works on all timeframes and symbols; -Suitable for manual trading and for the development of advisers. -For more accurate inputs and additional confirmation of signals can be used in conjunction with other indicators.
submitted by SUREFOREXTRADING to u/SUREFOREXTRADING [link] [comments]

r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Nov 27, 2018

Feel free to talk about technical analysis here (not argue against it), but before you ask any question make sure you see the following information:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions:
Measure: Is the security's price trending, has it dipped or is it a falling knife? Interpret: Does the current price mean investors think it's undervalued or overvalued; when did they buy/sell more and why? Predict: If price reaches a certain point, will there be a rally or get rejected?
The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as priced in): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.
TA is best used for short term trading, but can also be used for long term.
Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks
Terminology
Useful indicators
Methods or Systems
Strategies: See the TA wiki here as this will be a work in progress, feel free to reply with your own strategy.
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
submitted by AutoModerator to stocks [link] [comments]

r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Dec 11, 2018

Feel free to talk about technical analysis here (not argue against it), but before you ask any question make sure you see the following information:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions:
Measure: Is the security's price trending, has it dipped or is it a falling knife? Interpret: Does the current price mean investors think it's undervalued or overvalued; when did they buy/sell more and why? Predict: If price reaches a certain point, will there be a rally or get rejected?
The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as priced in): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.
TA is best used for short term trading, but can also be used for long term.
Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks
Terminology
Useful indicators
Methods or Systems
Strategies: See the TA wiki here as this will be a work in progress, feel free to reply with your own strategy.
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
submitted by AutoModerator to stocks [link] [comments]

r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Dec 04, 2018

Feel free to talk about technical analysis here (not argue against it), but before you ask any question make sure you see the following information:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions:
Measure: Is the security's price trending, has it dipped or is it a falling knife? Interpret: Does the current price mean investors think it's undervalued or overvalued; when did they buy/sell more and why? Predict: If price reaches a certain point, will there be a rally or get rejected?
The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as priced in): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.
TA is best used for short term trading, but can also be used for long term.
Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks
Terminology
Useful indicators
Methods or Systems
Strategies: See the TA wiki here as this will be a work in progress, feel free to reply with your own strategy.
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
submitted by AutoModerator to stocks [link] [comments]

r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Dec 18, 2018

Feel free to talk about technical analysis here (not argue against it), but before you ask any question make sure you see the following information:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions:
Measure: Is the security's price trending, has it dipped or is it a falling knife? Interpret: Does the current price mean investors think it's undervalued or overvalued; when did they buy/sell more and why? Predict: If price reaches a certain point, will there be a rally or get rejected?
The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as priced in): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.
TA is best used for short term trading, but can also be used for long term.
Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks
Terminology
Useful indicators
Methods or Systems
Strategies: See the TA wiki here as this will be a work in progress, feel free to reply with your own strategy.
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
submitted by AutoModerator to stocks [link] [comments]

Whether the Euro Will Continue the Uptrend?

Good news! The Euro was positive at the very first Forex trading day of 2012. Seen from the Forex daily chart of yesterday, the Euro once even broke out the resistance line 1.3000. Wow, indeed, this piece of news brought Forex traders hope that the euro may possibly continue the uptrend in most time of the following year. Well, is it true? I am still going to share with you my analysis. Technical Forex Analysis On the Forex daily chart, the euro rebounded strongly and once even broke out the former resistance line 1.3000 and it seems that it may possibly continue its uptrend. We can see that the price is moving divergently with the EMA; moreover, on the MACD indicator, the histogram is moving closer to the zero line, indicating that the price is going upwards. According to my own Forex analysis, the resistance line is 1.3080, and the support line is 1.3000. Meanwhile I suggest that Forex traders consider setting stop loss orders right above the line 1.3100.
Fundamental Forex Analysis As usual, although up until now there is no new negative news released about the euro; Forex traders, especially institutions like banks are still wondering whether the euro can pick up its uptrend and they believe that the euro is going to move in recession first in the Forex market. Therefore, in the fundamental perspective, I am not that optimistic towards the trend of euro. In conclusion, I still suggest that Forex traders should trade calm and put their emotions down. Whatever good signals the Forex chart may show us, we might take the fundamental Forex analysis into consideration as well.
submitted by babafemibabafemi to Forex [link] [comments]

Forex Trading. What separates the Losers from the winners.

My name is Tom Burgoine and I am an engineer by trade however love Forex trading and have taken it up as a hobby. I have spent the last 5 years studying Forex and have had help from supposed traders teaching me the fundamentals of Forex trading. This was good as I got to know the basics and how all of the indicators worked and the terminology used etc. Once all of this was learnt, I then moved down the road of starting to trade. Straight away, I was losing money however the buzz of doing this gripped me and allowed me to keep pumping money in. I looked at various strategies given to me and none of them worked. I studied Elliot wave and although I have to agree with the markets moving in 5 and 3 waves, it became very hard to count the waves and at some points felt very contradictive of what I had been taught. It was almost like every rule, had an exception (Is it really a rule). After 3.5 grueling years of losing 40K, I then took a step back and re-evaluated. I asked myself what were the issues surrounding my losing? I know that my mentality was a problem. I was over trading and getting greedy when the wins came in. Secondly and most importantly, I realised that all of the teachings, lessons on indications, and other advice (Although welcomed and useful) was teaching me about reactive circumstances. The Indicators were reacting to market movement which meant by the time I jumped onto the trade, I had missed a bulk.
Being an engineering manager, I always try to find the Logic in things and like to know how they work quite in depth. I know, geekish, however, my mind works only in logic. I decided to try and find a way to be proactive in seeing the market turn rather than reactive and started looking into different tools and indicators. Finally in logically looking at how the market moves, I found the answer.
Market prices move with the pressure of the buyers and sellers purchasing or selling there currencies. I needed to find a way of knowing when the pressure of a market going up (Bullish) or the pressure of a market going down (Bearish) was tailing off, eventually resulting in a reverse. I looked at the indicators and found that momentum does this. I needed a second Indicator as well just to crosscheck what I was being told. I looked at the formula of the MACD indicator and thought the Histogram from the MACD indicator was very good. The moving average slapped on the top however was of no use. I then configured the MACD indicator to only show the histogram. So my Indicators were the momentum (Set to 12) and the Histogram from the MACD.
I traded on the daily as I wanted medium to long term trades. This prevented me and my mind from over-trading. I would look at the daily and would look at the direction of the price movement and the look at the pressure moving it. If the price and pressure (Indicated by the momentum and the histogram) were moving in the same direction then it was all good. The minute I saw the momentum and the Histogram starting to turn while the price still went in the same direction gave me my proactive indication that the market was about to turn. This is when I implemented my strategy. I then went to the 4 hr time frame and waited for the same thing to happen which then gave me an even tighter and closer proactive indication that the market was about to turn. once the 4 hr time frame gave me the same signal, I then moved to the 1 hourly until I received the same signal. I then got to the point of knowing within a couple of hours when the market was going to turn. I needed something extra that would allow me to enter my trade rather than trying to guess which hour was going to be the turning point. I then looked into a third indicator. Stochastics. Stochastics allowed me to see when the market was over bought or over sold. I waited until all of my Signals were in place and then waited for the stochastic to go over bought or over sold. I then entered on the hourly. This has turned my trading around. It has made me slow down my trading with consistent wins and mentally has put me in a better place. I have set up a you tube channel FX Logic, where I will be going through potential trades weekly using this method. I have a introductory video on there as well which talks you through the methodology discussed here with the charts right in front of you. There is no catch just a engineer trying to share his success. Subscribe to my channel and go through the process of growing your account with the community. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldki7ddTwec&t=10s
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MT4 Shortcut Keyboard for Forex Traders

Forexkeyboard.com announced the launch of imperium forex trading keyboard designed by traders and made for traders, allowing them to make use of shortcuts keys to execute faster trades. The Imperium forex trading keyboard can person a whole lot of functions like buy, sell, close trades and set lot sizes. It can also perform chart functions like open new chart, zoom, show crosshair and change timeframe, as well as general functions like copy, backspace, delete and options windows. The keyboard and its EA will be launching January 2017, and it is free for the first 1000 users who pre-register on the website at www.forexkeyboard.com.
“The idea for a MetaTrader keyboard for traders first came from trader chat rooms and forums. The Imperium trading keyboard was designed by traders and suitable for scalpers, intraday and day traders. Currently, we are releasing a virtual keyboard, but our end game is to deliver a physical trading keyboard that will take forex trading to the next level,” said Alec Johns, Operations Director.
Forexkeyboard.com designed the Imperium forex trading keyboard to help MT4 and MT5 speed up their order navigation and execution. It provides unbeatable advantage for traders, by delivering scalper indicator and scalper trading system. Forexkeyboard.com also offer Scalper Pro Indicator with MACD Alert, CCI Histogram, and 200 EMA in a zip file. These templates of indicators goes beyond trends to provide a safe entry and exit trades when used together.
About forexkeyboard.com
Forexkeyboard.com was created to help forex traders access MetaTrader shortcut keys so that they can execute trades faster. The company is launching a virtual keyboard for traders, with the intentions of advancing to a physical keyboard that will suit every trading style. For more information, please contact [email protected], www.forexkeyboard.com.
submitted by discreteoryx to Forex [link] [comments]

MACD settings. MACD results are based on quick and slow EMA settings. If the period is too short, the indicator becomes too sensitive to the price fluctuations and starts giving lots of false signals. If the period is too long, the indicator becomes slower, which makes the signals more accurate but more scarce. The standard MACD settings are ... The MACD-Histogram is an indicator designed to predict signal line crossovers in MACD. By extension, it is designed as an early warning system for these signal line … Forex MT4 Indicators – Download Instructions. MACD Histogram is a Metatrader 4 (MT4) indicator and the essence of the forex indicator is to transform the accumulated history data. MACD Histogram provides for an opportunity to ... Strategies of MACD indicator in Forex Trading. Traders use a wide variety of MACD strategies. Here are some of them: Buy and sell at the MACD intersection. This is a trend following strategy. A fast indicator curve crossing the signal line indicates the beginning of a new trend. At this moment, we have an opportunity for a successful market entry. The MACD divergence indicator can predict ... The Best and Correct MACD Settings – Are you an indicator trader? If yes, then the MACD is a useful indicator in the identification of price trends and direction. DOWNLOAD TRADING SYSTEM. The Best PREMIUM Trading Systems for “MAXIMUM PROFIT” The Best NON-REPAINT Forex Trading System and Strategy How to Master Trading Forex & How Long Would it Usually Take to Master Successful Forex Stop ... The indicator is often displayed with a histogram, which represents the distance between the MACD and its signal line. When a crossover occurs, the histogram temporarily disappears, as there’s no difference between the lines at the time of the cross. Now, let’s do some math! As a new trend emerges, the MACD line starts to diverge away from the signal line, and the histogram gets bigger and ... The MACD histogram is a versatile tool that allows traders to make earlier entries. Learn how to implement the MACD histogram to fit into your trading strategy The oscillator or the MACD indicator is a three-time series collection which is calculated with the help of data from historical prices, it is normally the price of closing. The three series are the divergence series that is a difference between the average and signal series. The other two are the signal series and the average series. The best MACD settings for intraday trading is default ...

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